Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 16, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Generali Arena

St Polten
2 - 3
Man City

Brunnthaler (41'), Dubcova (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kennedy (6'), Fujino (58'), Fowler (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between St Polten Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Hammarby 2-0 St Polten
Wednesday, October 9 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for St Polten Women had a probability of 23.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a St Polten Women win it was 1-0 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
St Polten WomenDrawManchester City Women
23.64% (-0.137 -0.14)25.01% (0.010999999999999 0.01)51.35% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 50.41% (-0.182 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.11% (-0.165 -0.16)51.89% (0.167 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.36% (-0.144 -0.14)73.64% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
St Polten Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.17% (-0.217 -0.22)36.83% (0.218 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.38% (-0.218 -0.22)73.62% (0.218 0.22)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)20.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.48% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)52.52% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    St Polten Women 23.64%
    Manchester City Women 51.35%
    Draw 25%
St Polten WomenDrawManchester City Women
1-0 @ 7.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.94% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.98% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.24% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 23.64%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 11.9% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 9.52% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.51% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 5.07% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.03% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 51.35%

How you voted: St Polten vs Man City

St Polten Women
13.9%
Draw
8.3%
Manchester City Women
77.8%
36