Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Paris Women had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Paris Women win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.