Women's Super League Gameweek 22
May 18, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Villa Park
  • Rachel Daly 68' goal
  • Lucy Parker 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Mary Fowler 21'
  • goal Lauren Hemp 77'

Aston Villa Women vs Manchester City Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
May 4, 2024 1.00pm
Brighton 0 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Rachel Daly

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
May 5, 2024 2.15pm
Man City 1 - 2 Arsenal
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Khadija Shaw

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 77.59%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 8.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.22%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa Women 8.86% (-0.93)
Draw 13.55% (-1.13)
Manchester City Women 77.59% (+2.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.21% (+0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5 71.77% (+2.72)
Under 2.5 28.23% (-2.72)
Over 3.5 50.97% (+3.30)
Under 3.5 49.02% (-3.31)
Over 4.5 31.64% (+3.01)
Under 4.5 68.36% (-3.01)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5 58.65% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 41.35% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 22.13% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 77.86% (-0.17)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5 94.13% (+0.97)
Under 0.5 5.87% (-0.97)
Over 1.5 77.49% (+2.66)
Under 1.5 22.51% (-2.66)

Score analysis

Aston Villa Women 8.86%
Draw 13.55%
Manchester City Women 77.59%
Aston Villa Women
2-1 @ 2.68% (-0.26)
1-0 @ 2.14% (-0.36)
3-2 @ 1.12% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 8.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.08% (-0.62)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.15)
0-0 @ 2.43% (-0.42)
3-3 @ 1.06% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 13.55%
Manchester City Women
0-2 @ 9.76% (-0.46)
0-3 @ 9.22% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.37)
1-3 @ 8.14% (+0.12)
0-1 @ 6.88% (-0.74)
0-4 @ 6.54% (+0.41)
1-4 @ 5.77% (+0.39)
0-5 @ 3.71% (+0.42)
2-3 @ 3.6% (+0.07)
1-5 @ 3.27% (+0.39)
2-4 @ 2.55% (+0.19)
0-6 @ 1.75% (+0.29)
1-6 @ 1.55% (+0.26)
2-5 @ 1.45% (+0.18)
Other @ 4.79%
Total : 77.59%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 9
Dec 9, 2023 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Academy Stadium
  • Lauren Hemp 61' goal
  • Lauren Hemp 65' goal
  • goal Danielle Turner 7'
  • yellowcard Rachel Corsie 30'
  • yellowcard Sarah Mayling 75'
Women's FA Cup
Mar 19, 2023 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
ET Poundland Bescot Stadium
  • Rachel Corsie 20' goal
  • Rachel Daly 97' goal
  • goal Deyna Castellanos 38'
Women's Super League Gameweek 12
Jan 21, 2023 11.30am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Deyna Castellanos 28' goal
  • goal Kirsty Hanson 31'
Women's Super League Gameweek 2
Sep 18, 2022 12.30pm
4
3
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Alisha Lehmann 22' goal
  • Rachel Daly 32' goal
  • Kenza Dali 58' goal
  • Rachel Daly 76' goal
  • goal Laura Coombs 45'+1'
  • goal Khadija Shaw 53'
  • goal Laura Coombs 55'
Women's Super League Gameweek 12
Jan 15, 2022 1.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Georgia Stanway 5'
  • goal Vicky Losada 41'
  • yellowcard Alex Greenwood 58'
  • goal Georgia Stanway 75'
Women's Super League Gameweek 8
Nov 20, 2021 11.30am
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Caroline Weir 48' goal
  • Georgia Stanway 51' goal
  • Hayley Raso 77' goal
  • Lauren Hemp 78' goal
  • Hayley Raso 81' goal