Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 86.07%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 4.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.42%) and 0-4 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.51%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-0 (1.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion Women	Draw	Manchester City Women
4.36% ( -0.26)	9.57% ( -0.37)	86.07% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 44.3% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.62% (

0.64)

27.38% (

-0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.03% (

0.8)

47.97% (

-0.8)

Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.29% (

-0.49)

53.72% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.9% (

-0.31)

87.1% (

0.31)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.71% (

0.21)

4.29% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.19% (

0.66)

17.81% (

-0.66)

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion Women 4.36%

Manchester City Women 86.06%

Draw 9.57%

Brighton & Hove Albion Women	Draw	Manchester City Women
1-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.53% Total : 4.36%	1-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.54% Total : 9.57%	0-3 @ 11.99% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 11.42% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 9.44% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 7.45% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.16) 0-5 @ 5.94% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 5.87% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 3.69% ( 0.09) 0-6 @ 3.12% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.05) 1-6 @ 1.94% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 0-7 @ 1.4% ( 0.09) 2-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.15% Total : 86.06%