Women's Super League | Gameweek 15
Mar 2, 2024 at 12pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City Women
2 - 1
Everton Ladies

Shaw (15'), Hemp (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bennison (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Everton Ladies, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea Women 0-1 Man City Women
Friday, February 16 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 2-0 West Ham
Sunday, February 18 at 1pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 87.84%. A draw had a probability of 8.1% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 4.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.64%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 1-2 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawEverton Ladies
87.84% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)8.14% (0.042999999999999 0.04)4.02% (0.0080999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.75% (-0.233 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.54% (-0.242 -0.24)20.46% (0.245 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
61.26% (-0.34399999999999 -0.34)38.74% (0.347 0.35)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.05% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)2.95% (0.043 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.67% (-0.149 -0.15)13.33% (0.151 0.15)
Everton Ladies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.26% (-0.219 -0.22)48.74% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.23% (-0.157 -0.16)83.77% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 87.83%
    Everton Ladies 4.02%
    Draw 8.14%
Manchester City WomenDrawEverton Ladies
3-0 @ 10.47% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 9.23% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.92% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.53% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-1 @ 6.64% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 6.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.41% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.06% (0.075 0.08)
5-1 @ 4.68% (-0.037 -0.04)
6-0 @ 3.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
6-1 @ 2.75% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.39% (-0.024 -0.02)
7-0 @ 1.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.68% (-0.024 -0.02)
7-1 @ 1.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
6-2 @ 0.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 4.74%
Total : 87.83%
1-1 @ 3.64% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 2.3% (-0.004 -0)
0-0 @ 1.44% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 8.14%
1-2 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 1.03% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 4.02%

Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 10
Everton Ladies
1-4
Man City Women
Galli (56')
Holmgaard (57'), Payne (61')
Shaw (9', 22', 65'), Roord (25')
Kelly (62')
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Man City Women
3-2
Everton Ladies
Shaw (51', 69'), Hemp (60')
Graham (79'), Maier (90+4')
Sevecke (89'), Clarke (90')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Mar 23, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 16
Man City Women
4-0
Everton Ladies
Magill (25' og.), White (32'), Greenwood (84'), Coombs (85')

George (51'), Turner (88')
Sep 4, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 1
Everton Ladies
0-4
Man City Women

Bjorn (90+2')
Victoria Losada Gomez (26'), Beckie (36'), Monifa Shaw (38'), Houghton (67')