Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 72.94%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 10.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.51%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-0 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Liverpool Women	Draw	Manchester City Women
10.64% ( -0.23)	16.42% ( -0.09)	72.94% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 50.74% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.81% (

-0.26)

37.19% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.6% (

-0.29)

59.4% (

0.29)

Liverpool Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.66% (

-0.6)

44.34% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.6% (

-0.49)

80.4% (

0.5)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.15% (

0.01)

8.85% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.7% (

0.02)

30.3% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Liverpool Women 10.64%

Manchester City Women 72.94%

Draw 16.42%

Liverpool Women	Draw	Manchester City Women
1-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.97% Total : 10.64%	1-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.95% Total : 16.42%	0-2 @ 11.53% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 9.33% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 7.58% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 5.65% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 2.74% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 2.23% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 0-6 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) 1-6 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 72.94%