Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 72.94%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.51%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-0 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.