Women's Super League | Gameweek 1
Sep 22, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Meadow Park

Arsenal
2 - 2
Man City

Maanum (8'), Mead (81')
Eidevall (0')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Miedema (42'), Park (58')
Casparij (79'), Greenwood (81'), Park (85'), Hemp (90+3'), Shaw (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Vivianne Miedema and Beth Mead make the net bulge as Arsenal and Manchester City play out a thrilling 2-2 Women's Super League draw at the Emirates.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: BK Hacken 1-0 Arsenal
Wednesday, September 18 at 6pm in Women's Champions League

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Paris 0-5 Man City
Wednesday, September 18 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawManchester City Women
45.5% (0.033999999999999 0.03)26.92% (0.343 0.34)27.58% (-0.38 -0.38)
Both teams to score 48.26% (-1.24 -1.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.61% (-1.48 -1.48)56.38% (1.477 1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.6% (-1.21 -1.21)77.4% (1.208 1.21)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28% (-0.637 -0.64)24.71% (0.636 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.74% (-0.899 -0.9)59.26% (0.896 0.9)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.11% (-1.097 -1.1)35.89% (1.095 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.33% (-1.141 -1.14)72.66% (1.138 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 45.49%
    Manchester City Women 27.58%
    Draw 26.91%
Arsenal WomenDrawManchester City Women
1-0 @ 12.39% (0.47 0.47)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.67% (0.173 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.126 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 45.49%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 8.87% (0.492 0.49)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 9.09% (0.244 0.24)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 27.58%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Man City

Arsenal Women
70.0%
Draw
0.0%
Manchester City Women
30.0%
10
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 2.15pm
Gameweek 21
Man City Women
1-2
Arsenal Women
Hemp (17')
Coombs (36'), Ouahabi (74'), Hemp (81')
Blackstenius (89', 90+2')
Lacasse (51')
> Preview
Nov 5, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Arsenal Women
2-1
Man City Women
Catley (14'), Blackstenius (87')
Walti (6'), Lacasse (7'), Pelova (34'), Foord (53'), McCabe (90+9')
Kelly (72')
Hemp (13'), Keating (18'), Ouahabi (35')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 17
Arsenal Women
2-1
Man City Women
Maanum (62'), McCabe (74')
Shaw (5')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
Man City Women
2-1
Arsenal Women
Hemp (4'), Kelly (43')
Souza (59')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2022 6.45pm
Gameweek 13
Man City Women
1-1
Arsenal Women
Shaw (65')
Stanway (16'), Hemp (33'), Weir (90'), Walsh (90+6')
Heath (90+2')
McCabe (32'), Parris (55'), Miedema (83')
> Preview