Women's Super League | Gameweek 22
May 18, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadow Park

Arsenal Women
5 - 0
Brighton Women

Russo (17', 24'), Miedema (64'), Carabali (67' og.), Maanum (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Losada (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Last Game: Man City Women 1-2 Arsenal Women
Sunday, May 5 at 2.15pm in Women's Super League

Brighton & Hove Albion Women

All competitions
Last Game: Brighton Women 0-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, May 4 at 1pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 80.79%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 7.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.52%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-2 (2.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
80.79% (2.229 2.23)12.12% (-0.829 -0.83)7.09% (-1.402 -1.4)
Both teams to score 52.16% (-4.072 -4.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.39% (-1.303 -1.3)27.61% (1.303 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.75% (-1.65 -1.65)48.25% (1.649 1.65)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.8% (0.11200000000001 0.11)5.2% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.44% (0.336 0.34)20.57% (-0.336 -0.34)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.02% (-4.365 -4.37)44.98% (4.366 4.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.08% (-3.707 -3.71)80.92% (3.708 3.71)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 80.78%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 7.09%
    Draw 12.12%
Arsenal WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
2-0 @ 10.22% (0.927 0.93)
3-0 @ 10.07% (0.977 0.98)
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-1 @ 8.05% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-0 @ 7.45% (0.775 0.78)
1-0 @ 6.91% (0.581 0.58)
4-1 @ 5.95% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-0 @ 4.41% (0.487 0.49)
5-1 @ 3.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.476 -0.48)
4-2 @ 2.38% (-0.332 -0.33)
6-0 @ 2.17% (0.254 0.25)
6-1 @ 1.73% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.41% (-0.184 -0.18)
7-0 @ 0.92% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 80.78%
1-1 @ 5.52% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-2 @ 3.26% (-0.51 -0.51)
0-0 @ 2.34% (0.181 0.18)
Other @ 1%
Total : 12.12%
1-2 @ 2.21% (-0.364 -0.36)
0-1 @ 1.87% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 7.09%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Brighton Women
0-3
Arsenal Women

Losada (32'), Bergsvand (72')
Blackstenius (12'), Foord (80'), Maanum (90+5')
Russo (83')
> Preview
May 10, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Brighton Women
0-4
Arsenal Women
Blackstenius (6', 8'), Maanum (39'), Pelova (45')
> Preview
Sep 16, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Arsenal Women
4-0
Brighton Women
Little (28'), Blackstenius (50'), Mead (63', 83')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2022 6.45pm
Gameweek 17
Brighton Women
0-3
Arsenal Women

Kullberg (81'), Kaagman (90+2')
Blackstenius (27', 41'), Mead (34')
Williamson (8'), Foord (63')
> Preview
Jan 27, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 10
Arsenal Women
2-1
Brighton Women
Miedema (55'), Mead (60')
Koivisto (15')
Brazil (24'), Le Tissier (54'), Williams (60')
> Preview