Women's Champions League | Second Round | 1st Leg
Sep 18, 2024 at 6pm UK
Brastad Arena

BK Hacken
1 - 0
Arsenal

Tindell (77')
Bergstrom (45+1'), Anvegard (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Codina (39'), Mead (69'), Little (81'), Maanum (85')

The Match

Match Report

Arsenal are forced to do it the hard way in their Women's Champions League qualifying second leg with BK Hacken following a 1-0 loss to the Swedish outfit.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: PSG 3-0 BK Hacken
Thursday, March 28 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Arsenal 1-0 Trondheims-Orn
Saturday, September 7 at 7.30pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BK Hacken Women win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a BK Hacken Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BK Hacken Women would win this match.

Result
BK Hacken WomenDrawArsenal Women
45.4% (0.724 0.72)23.73% (-0.539 -0.54)30.86% (-0.191 -0.19)
Both teams to score 60.54% (1.812 1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.71% (2.425 2.43)41.28% (-2.429 -2.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.32% (2.418 2.42)63.68% (-2.423 -2.42)
BK Hacken Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (1.277 1.28)18.44% (-1.281 -1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.38% (2.12 2.12)49.62% (-2.124 -2.12)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23% (1.073 1.07)25.77% (-1.078 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.29% (1.434 1.43)60.71% (-1.438 -1.44)
Score Analysis
    BK Hacken Women 45.4%
    Arsenal Women 30.86%
    Draw 23.73%
BK Hacken WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.03% (-0.562 -0.56)
2-0 @ 6.79% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.224 0.22)
3-0 @ 3.83% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.253 0.25)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.178 0.18)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.085 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 45.4%
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.211 0.21)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.543 -0.54)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.159 0.16)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.519 -0.52)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.209 -0.21)
1-3 @ 3.34% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.177 0.18)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.061 0.06)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.86%

How you voted: BK Hacken vs Arsenal

BK Hacken Women
33.3%
Draw
8.3%
Arsenal Women
58.3%
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