Women's Champions League | Second Round | 1st Leg
Sep 18, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Charlety

Paris
0 - 5
Man City

FT(HT: 0-2)
Miedema (36'), Park (38', 58'), Fowler (49'), Kelly (79')
Coverage of the Women's Champions League Second Round clash between Paris Women and Manchester City Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Women

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Paris 2-0 Sparta Prague
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 Man City
Saturday, May 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Women win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.72%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Paris WomenDrawManchester City Women
39.36% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)23.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)37.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 63.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.6% (0.013999999999996 0.01)38.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.31% (0.014000000000003 0.01)60.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
Paris Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.14% (0.0019999999999953 0)19.87% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.03% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)51.97% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08% (0.012 0.01)20.93% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.34% (0.017000000000003 0.02)53.66% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Paris Women 39.36%
    Manchester City Women 37.14%
    Draw 23.49%
Paris WomenDrawManchester City Women
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 6.72% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 5.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.58%
3-0 @ 2.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.85%
4-2 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 39.36%
1-1 @ 10.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.49%
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.09%
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-3 @ 3.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.65% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 37.14%

How you voted: Paris vs Man City

Paris Women
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Manchester City Women
33.3%
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