Women's Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Stade Robert Bobin

Paris
2 - 1
Real Madrid

FT(HT: 2-0)

Moller (53')
Andres (35'), Abilleira (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Paris Women and Real Madrid Femenino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Women

Last Game: Chelsea Women 4-1 Paris
Thursday, November 23 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Real Madrid Femenino

Last Game: BK Hacken 2-1 Real Madrid
Thursday, November 23 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Women win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 38.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (5.44%). The likeliest Real Madrid Femenino win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Paris Women in this match.

Result
Paris Women	Draw	Real Madrid Femenino
38.1% ( 0.02)	23.89% ( -0.2)	38.01% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 61.91% (

0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.69% (

1.01)

40.3% (

-1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.32% (

1.03)

62.68% (

-1.03)

Paris Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.7% (

0.45)

21.3% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.76% (

0.7)

54.23% (

-0.7)

Real Madrid Femenino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66% (

0.54)

21.34% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.7% (

0.82)

54.3% (

-0.82)

Score Analysis

Paris Women 38.1%

Real Madrid Femenino 38.01%

Draw 23.88%

Paris Women	Draw	Real Madrid Femenino
2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 38.1%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.88%	1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 38.01%