Women's Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 22, 2022 at 8pm UK

Ciudad Real Madrid

Real Madrid
5 - 1
Vllaznia

Weir (11'), Abilleira (18', 21' pen.), Camacho (78'), Duran (83')

FT(HT: 3-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Real Madrid Femenino and Vllaznia Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid Femenino

Last Game: PSG 2-1 Real Madrid
Friday, December 16 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Vllaznia Women

Last Game: Vllaznia 0-4 Chelsea Women
Friday, December 16 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid Femenino win with a probability of 84.14%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Vllaznia Women had a probability of 6.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid Femenino win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.94%) and 4-0 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.92%), while for a Vllaznia Women win it was 1-2 (1.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid Femenino would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid Femenino	Draw	Vllaznia Women
84.14% ( 0.14)	9.75% ( -0.07)	6.11% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 58.94% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

81.74% (

0.1)

18.26% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

64.44% (

0.14)

35.57% (

-0.14)

Real Madrid Femenino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.94% (

0.03)

3.06% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

86.26% (

0.11)

13.75% (

-0.11)

Vllaznia Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.8% (

-0.09)

39.2% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.09% (

-0.09)

75.91% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid Femenino 84.14%

Vllaznia Women 6.11%

Draw 9.75%

Real Madrid Femenino	Draw	Vllaznia Women
3-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 3.24% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 2.26% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 7-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 6-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 4.93% Total : 84.14%	1-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 9.75%	1-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 6.11%