Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 60.02%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 21% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.26%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 2-1 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.