Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 84.44%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Everton Women had a probability of 4.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.41%) and 0-4 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Everton Women win it was 1-0 (1.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.