Women's Super League | Gameweek 5
Oct 20, 2024 at 12.15pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City
2 - 1
Aston Villa

Hemp (62'), Roord (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nunes da Silva (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: St Polten 2-3 Man City
Wednesday, October 16 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-0 Leicester
Sunday, October 13 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 66.17%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City Women.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawAston Villa Women
66.17% (-0.36699999999999 -0.37)18.34% (0.16 0.16)15.5% (0.212 0.21)
Both teams to score 58.81% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.94% (-0.331 -0.33)34.06% (0.335 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.07% (-0.375 -0.38)55.93% (0.38 0.38)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.41% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)9.59% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.92% (-0.414 -0.41)32.08% (0.419 0.42)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.06% (0.052000000000007 0.05)34.95% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31% (0.050999999999998 0.05)71.69% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 66.17%
    Aston Villa Women 15.5%
    Draw 18.34%
Manchester City WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.21% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.073 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.2% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.43% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.22% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.33% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.08% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.98% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.09% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 66.17%
1-1 @ 8.26% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.35% (0.057 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 18.34%
1-2 @ 4.34% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.53% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 15.5%

How you voted: Man City vs Aston Villa

Manchester City Women
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Aston Villa Women
16.7%
6
Head to Head
May 18, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Aston Villa
1-2
Man City
Daly (68')
Parker (90+1')
Fowler (21'), Hemp (77')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 9
Man City
2-1
Aston Villa
Hemp (61', 65')
Turner (7')
Corsie (30'), Mayling (75')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2023 6pm
Quarter-Finals
Aston Villa
2-1
Man City
Corsie (20'), Daly (97')
Castellanos (38')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 12
Man City
1-1
Aston Villa
Castellanos (28')
Hanson (31')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
4-3
Man City
Lehmann (22'), Daly (32', 76'), Dali (58')
Coombs (45+1', 55'), Shaw (53')