Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 67.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 14.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 3-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea Women	Draw	Aston Villa Women
67.37% ( -0.83)	17.72% ( 0.25)	14.91% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 59.7% (

0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.73% (

0.09)

32.26% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.13% (

0.1)

53.87% (

-0.1)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.16% (

-0.16)

8.83% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.72% (

-0.39)

30.27% (

0.4)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.48% (

0.81)

34.51% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.77% (

0.85)

71.23% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Chelsea Women 67.37%

Aston Villa Women 14.91%

Draw 17.72%

Chelsea Women	Draw	Aston Villa Women
2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) 6-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.23% Total : 67.37%	1-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.26% Total : 17.72%	1-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.47% Total : 14.91%