Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Tele2 Arena

Hammarby
1 - 2
Man City

Wangerheim (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shaw (31', 52')
Shaw (31'), Kelly (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Hammarby Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Man City 2-0 Hammarby
Tuesday, November 12 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Man City
Saturday, November 16 at 5.30pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby Women win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester City Women in this match.

Result
Hammarby WomenDrawManchester City Women
48.99% (0.16 0.16)24.51% (-0.032 -0.03)26.5% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 54.78% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.51% (0.036999999999999 0.04)47.49% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.3% (0.035 0.04)69.7% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Hammarby Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (0.081000000000003 0.08)19.43% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.74% (0.129 0.13)51.26% (-0.129 -0.13)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)32.01% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)68.48% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Hammarby Women 48.99%
    Manchester City Women 26.5%
    Draw 24.5%
Hammarby WomenDrawManchester City Women
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.56% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 48.99%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.09% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 26.5%

How you voted: Hammarby vs Man City

Hammarby Women
24.1%
Draw
20.7%
Manchester City Women
55.2%
29
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Man City
2-0
Hammarby
Brown (47'), Fujino (80')
Kennedy (90+3')