Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Hammarby Women had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Hammarby Women win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.