Women's Super League | Gameweek 5

Oct 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
1 - 0
Everton

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Leicester City Women and Everton Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City Women

All competitions

Last Game: Aston Villa 0-0 Leicester
Sunday, October 13 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Goals
for

Everton Women

All competitions

Last Game: Everton 1-1 West Ham
Sunday, October 13 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City Women win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Everton Women had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Everton Women win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City Women would win this match.

Result
Leicester City Women	Draw	Everton Women
49.8% ( 0.07)	23% ( 0.04)	27.2% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 60.54% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.84% (

-0.28)

40.16% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.47% (

-0.29)

62.53% (

0.29)

Leicester City Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.67% (

-0.08)

16.33% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.08% (

-0.14)

45.92% (

0.14)

Everton Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.35% (

-0.22)

27.65% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.8% (

-0.29)

63.2% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Leicester City Women 49.8%

Everton Women 27.2%

Draw 22.99%

Leicester City Women	Draw	Everton Women
2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 49.8%	1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.99%	1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.2%