Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City Women win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Everton Women had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Everton Women win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City Women would win this match.