Women's Super League Gameweek 9
Arsenal
Dec 8, 2024 2.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Meadow Park
Aston Villa
  • Alessia Russo 17' goal
  • Beth Mead 39' goal
  • Stina Blackstenius 71' goal
  • Katie McCabe 89' yellowcard
  • Alessia Russo 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Anna Patten 18'

Arsenal Women vs Aston Villa Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Nov 16, 2024 1.45pm
Spurs 0 - 3 Arsenal
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Alessia Russo

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Nov 17, 2024 2.00pm
Aston Villa 3 - 2 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Rachel Daly

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 81.66%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 6.46%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.53%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result

Arsenal Women 81.66% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 11.88% ▼ (-0.03)
Aston Villa Women 6.46% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.17% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 29.24% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 49.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 50.28% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 30.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 69.51% ▼ (-0.03)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5 94.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 5.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 78.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 21.05% ▼ (-0.04)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5 51.96% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 48.04% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 16.74% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 83.26% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Arsenal Women 81.66%
Draw 11.88%
Aston Villa Women 6.46%
Arsenal Women
2-0 @ 11.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 10.75% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.54% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.64%
Total : 81.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 11.88%
Aston Villa Women
1-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 6.46%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 17
Aston Villa
Mar 24, 2024 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
Arsenal
  • Ebony Salmon 35' goal
  • Rachel Daly 87' yellowcard
  • goal Victoria Pelova 54'
  • goal Lotte Wubben-Moy 84'
  • goal Stina Blackstenius 86'
  • yellowcard Kyra Cooney-Cross 90'+2'
Women's Super League Gameweek 3
Arsenal
Oct 15, 2023 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Emirates Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Katie McCabe 90'+2' goal
  • Alessia Russo 90'+4' goal
  • goal Mayumi Pacheco 25'
  • yellowcard Mayumi Pacheco 43'
  • yellowcard Lucy Parker 86'
Women's Super League Gameweek 22
Arsenal
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Aston Villa
  • goal Rachel Daly 45'+2'
  • goal Alisha Lehmann 49'
Women's Super League Gameweek 10
Aston Villa
Dec 11, 2022 4.15pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
Arsenal
  • Kirsty Hanson 6' goal
  • goal Rachel Corsie 26' (OG)
  • goal Vivianne Miedema 30'
  • goal Katie McCabe 62'
  • goal Jordan Nobbs 84'
Women's Super League Gameweek 21
Arsenal
May 1, 2022 2.15pm
7
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Vivianne Miedema 9' goal
  • Vivianne Miedema 13' goal
  • Rachel Corsie 52' goal
  • Beth Mead 61' goal
  • Lotte Wubben-Moy 66' goal
  • Stina Blackstenius 83' goal
  • Nikita Parris 90' goal
  • Caitlin Foord 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ramona Petzelberger 54'
Women's Super League Gameweek 4
Aston Villa
Oct 2, 2021 5.15pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Arsenal
  • Mayumi Pacheco 57' yellowcard
  • goal Kim Little 51'
  • goal Mana Iwabuchi 80'
  • goal Katie McCabe 83'
  • goal Kim Little 90'+2'

Form Data

Arsenal 1 - 0 Juventus
Spurs 0 - 3 Arsenal
Juventus 0 - 4 Arsenal
Arsenal 5 - 0 Brighton
Man Utd 1 - 1 Arsenal
West Ham 0 - 2 Arsenal
Aston Villa 3 - 2 Crystal Palace
Man Utd 0 - 0 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 1 - 2 Liverpool
Man City 2 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 0 - 0 Leicester
Brighton 4 - 2 Aston Villa