Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Crystal Palace Women had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Women win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa Women	Draw	Crystal Palace Women
45.84% ( 0.25)	23.03% ( -0.12)	31.12% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 63.22% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.18% (

0.5)

37.82% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.93% (

0.53)

60.07% (

-0.53)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.09% (

0.29)

16.91% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.04% (

0.51)

46.96% (

-0.51)

Crystal Palace Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.09% (

0.16)

23.91% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.87% (

0.23)

58.12% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa Women 45.84%

Crystal Palace Women 31.12%

Draw 23.03%

Aston Villa Women	Draw	Crystal Palace Women
2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.26% Total : 45.84%	1-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.03%	1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.12%