Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Liverpool Women win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Liverpool Women in this match.

Result
Aston Villa Women	Draw	Liverpool Women
39.24% ( -1.19)	24.31% ( 0.03)	36.45% ( 1.16)

Both teams to score 60.26% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.59% (

42.41% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.19% (

0.01)

64.81% (

-0)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.34% (

-0.57)

21.66% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.21% (

-0.88)

54.79% (

0.88)

Liverpool Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.92% (

0.63)

23.08% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.08% (

0.91)

56.92% (

-0.91)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa Women 39.24%

Liverpool Women 36.45%

Draw 24.3%

Aston Villa Women	Draw	Liverpool Women
2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.57% Total : 39.24%	1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.3%	1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.45%