Women's Super League Gameweek 4
Oct 13, 2024 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Borough Sports Ground
  • Josie Green 16' yellowcard
  • Mille Gejl 56' yellowcard
  • goal Bruna Vilamala Costa 35'

Crystal Palace Women vs Brighton & Hove Albion Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Oct 6, 2024 3.00pm
Leicester 0 - 2 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Katie Stengel

Brighton & Hove Albion Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 12.30pm
Brighton 4 - 2 Aston Villa
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Nikita Parris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Women win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Women would win this match.

Result

Crystal Palace Women 44.15% (+0.90)
Draw 23.65% (+0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women 32.2% (-0.91)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.49% (-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.68% (-0.35)
Under 2.5 40.31% (+0.34)
Over 3.5 37.31% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 62.69% (+0.36)
Over 4.5 20.02% (-0.28)
Under 4.5 79.98% (+0.28)

Crystal Palace Women Goals

Over 0.5 81.43% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 18.57% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 50.16% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 49.84% (-0.40)

Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals

Over 0.5 75.52% (-0.70)
Under 0.5 24.48% (+0.69)
Over 1.5 41.07% (-0.98)
Under 1.5 58.93% (+0.98)

Score analysis

Crystal Palace Women 44.15%
Draw 23.65%
Brighton & Hove Albion Women 32.2%
Crystal Palace Women
2-1 @ 9.07% (+0.10)
1-0 @ 7.65% (+0.18)
2-0 @ 6.44% (+0.20)
3-1 @ 5.09% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 3.62% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.14% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.52% (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.51% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 44.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.55% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.65%
Brighton & Hove Albion Women
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.13)
0-1 @ 6.4% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.14)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.10)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.08)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.2%