Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Meadow Park

Arsenal
3 - 2
Bayern Munich

Perla Viggosdottir (7' og.), Russo (59'), Caldentey (86' pen.)
Foord (74'), McCabe (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ericsson (39', 58')
Stanway (68'), Schuller (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Arsenal Women and Bayern Munich Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Arsenal
Sunday, December 15 at 2.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Bayern Munich 4-0 Juventus
Thursday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Chelsea313.10Reiten
2Man City212.10Shaw
3Arsenal202.00Russo
4Brighton171.70Seike
5Man Utd161.60Clinton
6Spurs151.50England
7Aston Villa121.20Daly
8West Ham121.20Asseyi
9Liverpool90.90Hinds
10Crystal Palace80.80Blanchard
11Everton60.60Hayashi
12Leicester30.30Goodwin

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich Women win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawBayern Munich Women
35.98% (-0.341 -0.34)25.75% (0.307 0.31)38.27% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.06% (-1.099 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.9% (-1.396 -1.4)49.09% (1.391 1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (-1.274 -1.27)71.17% (1.271 1.27)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (-0.84999999999999 -0.85)26.43% (0.848 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.4% (-1.144 -1.14)61.6% (1.14 1.14)
Bayern Munich Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (-0.623 -0.62)25.15% (0.619 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (-0.86499999999999 -0.86)59.87% (0.861 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 35.98%
    Bayern Munich Women 38.27%
    Draw 25.74%
Arsenal WomenDrawBayern Munich Women
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.289 0.29)
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.89% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.6% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.61% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 35.98%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.371 0.37)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 9.18% (0.356 0.36)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.33% (0.136 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.91% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 38.27%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Bayern Munich

Arsenal Women
53.8%
Draw
30.8%
Bayern Munich Women
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2024 5.45pm
Group Stage
Bayern Munich
5-2
Arsenal
Perla Viggosdottir (43'), Lohmann (58'), Mosegaard-Harder (73', 78', 87')
Caldentey (30'), Codina (65')
Codina (41')
Mar 29, 2023 8pm
Mar 21, 2023 5.45pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Bayern Munich
1-0
Arsenal
Schuller (39')
rhs 2.0


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