Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 9, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Sportpark Aschheim

Bayern Munich
5 - 2
Arsenal

Perla Viggosdottir (43'), Lohmann (58'), Mosegaard-Harder (73', 78', 87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Caldentey (30'), Codina (65')
Codina (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Bayern Munich 2-2 PSG
Tuesday, January 30 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Arsenal 0-0 Everton
Sunday, October 6 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Bayern Munich Women had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Bayern Munich Women win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayern Munich Women would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich WomenDrawArsenal Women
36.46% (0.224 0.22)24.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)38.63% (-0.206 -0.21)
Both teams to score 58.06% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.74% (0.102 0.1)45.26% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.4% (0.098000000000006 0.1)67.6% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Bayern Munich Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.62% (0.17100000000001 0.17)24.38% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.21% (0.24 0.24)58.78% (-0.24 -0.24)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77% (-0.059999999999988 -0.06)23.23% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.86% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)57.14% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich Women 36.46%
    Arsenal Women 38.63%
    Draw 24.9%
Bayern Munich WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.64% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.65% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 36.46%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.66% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.9%
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 38.63%

How you voted: Bayern Munich vs Arsenal

Bayern Munich Women
63.6%
Draw
14.5%
Arsenal Women
21.8%
55
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2023 8pm
Mar 21, 2023 5.45pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Bayern Munich
1-0
Arsenal
Schuller (39')
rhs 2.0


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