Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Bayern Munich Women had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Bayern Munich Women win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayern Munich Women would win this match.