Women's Champions League
Oct 16, 2024 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Emily Fox 2' goal
  • Caitlin Foord 29' goal
  • Caitlin Foord 67' yellowcard
  • Laia Codina 84' yellowcard
  • Mariona Caldentey 85' goal
  • Alessia Russo 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Elise Thorsnes 18'
  • goal Olaug Tvedten 35'

Arsenal Women vs Valerenga Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Oct 9, 2024 5.45pm
Bayern Munich 5 - 2 Arsenal

Valerenga Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Oct 9, 2024 8.00pm
Valerenga 0 - 1 Juventus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Valerenga Women had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Valerenga Women win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result

Arsenal Women 46.19% ▲ (+0.21)
Draw 24.86% ▼ (-0.06)
Valerenga Women 28.95% ▼ (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.5% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.6% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 47.4% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 30.38% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 69.62% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 4.5 14.93% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 85.06% ▼ (-0.09)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5 79.42% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 20.58% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 46.89% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 1.5 53.11% ▼ (-0.23)

Valerenga Women Goals

Over 0.5 69.87% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 30.13% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 33.73% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 66.27% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Arsenal Women 46.19%
Draw 24.85%
Valerenga Women 28.95%
Arsenal Women
1-0 @ 9.8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.75% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 46.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.85%
Valerenga Women
0-1 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 28.95%