Women's Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 12, 2024 at 8pm UK

FC Bayern Campus Platz 1

Bayern Munich
3 - 0
Valerenga

Mosegaard-Harder (10'), Gwinn (17' pen.), Zadrazil (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Tennebo (40'), Thomsen (66')

Coverage of the Women's Champions League Group Stage clash between Bayern Munich Women and Valerenga Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich Women

Last Game: Juventus 0-2 Bayern Munich
Wednesday, October 16 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Valerenga Women

Last Game: Arsenal 4-1 Valerenga
Wednesday, October 16 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich Women win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Valerenga Women had a probability of 22.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Valerenga Women win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich Women would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich Women	Draw	Valerenga Women
54.01% ( -2.84)	23.06% ( 0.76)	22.93% ( 2.09)

Both teams to score 55.72% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.55% (

-0.84)

44.44% (

0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.18% (

-0.82)

66.81% (

0.82)

Bayern Munich Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.61% (

-1.26)

16.38% (

1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.98% (

-2.33)

46.02% (

2.33)

Valerenga Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.64% (

1.48)

33.36% (

-1.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.01% (

1.59)

69.98% (

-1.59)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich Women 54.01%

Valerenga Women 22.93%

Draw 23.05%

Bayern Munich Women	Draw	Valerenga Women
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.53) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.36) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.26% Total : 54.01%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.05%	0-1 @ 6% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.43) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.32% Total : 22.93%