Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 37.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (4.99%) and 3-1 (4.93%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.