Women's Super League Gameweek 12
Jan 25, 2025 12.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT Villa Park
  • Chasity Grant 6' goal
  • Laia Aleixandri 46' goal
  • Jordan Nobbs 48' yellowcard
  • goal Vivianne Miedema 28'
  • goal Vivianne Miedema 35'
  • goal Mary Fowler 54'
  • goal Jessica Park 62'

Aston Villa Women vs Manchester City Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Jan 18, 2025 5.30pm
Everton 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Rachel Daly

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Jan 19, 2025 6.45pm
Man City 2 - 4 Man Utd
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Khadija Shaw

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 37.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (4.99%) and 3-1 (4.93%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa Women 40.17% (-2.12)
Draw 21.92% (+0.15)
Manchester City Women 37.91% (+1.98)

Both Teams to Score: 

69.67% (-0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.74% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 30.26% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 48.49% (-0.60)
Under 3.5 51.5% (+0.60)
Over 4.5 29.37% (-0.54)
Under 4.5 70.63% (+0.54)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5 83.93% (-1.01)
Under 0.5 16.07% (+1.01)
Over 1.5 54.55% (-1.88)
Under 1.5 45.45% (+1.88)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5 83.01% (+0.65)
Under 0.5 16.99% (-0.64)
Over 1.5 52.89% (+1.13)
Under 1.5 47.11% (-1.12)

Score analysis

Aston Villa Women 40.17%
Draw 21.92%
Manchester City Women 37.91%
Aston Villa Women
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.17)
1-0 @ 4.99% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.29)
2-0 @ 4.56% (-0.20)
3-2 @ 4.37% (-0.16)
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.23)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.22)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.15)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.16)
4-3 @ 1.18% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 40.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.85% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 7.17% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.73% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 2.58% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.92%
Manchester City Women
1-2 @ 7.84% (+0.28)
0-1 @ 4.84% (+0.24)
1-3 @ 4.63% (+0.26)
0-2 @ 4.29% (+0.29)
2-3 @ 4.24% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.53% (+0.23)
1-4 @ 2.05% (+0.16)
2-4 @ 1.88% (+0.08)
3-4 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.12% (+0.12)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 37.91%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 5
Oct 20, 2024 12.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Academy Stadium
  • Lauren Hemp 62' goal
  • Jill Roord 70' goal
  • goal Gabriela Nunes da Silva 20'
Women's Super League Gameweek 22
May 18, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Villa Park
  • Rachel Daly 68' goal
  • Lucy Parker 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Mary Fowler 21'
  • goal Lauren Hemp 77'
Women's Super League Gameweek 9
Dec 9, 2023 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Academy Stadium
  • Lauren Hemp 61' goal
  • Lauren Hemp 65' goal
  • goal Danielle Turner 7'
  • yellowcard Rachel Corsie 30'
  • yellowcard Sarah Mayling 75'
Women's FA Cup
Mar 19, 2023 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
ET Poundland Bescot Stadium
  • Rachel Corsie 20' goal
  • Rachel Daly 97' goal
  • goal Deyna Castellanos 38'
Women's Super League Gameweek 12
Jan 21, 2023 11.30am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Deyna Castellanos 28' goal
  • goal Kirsty Hanson 31'
Women's Super League Gameweek 2
Sep 18, 2022 12.30pm
4
3
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Alisha Lehmann 22' goal
  • Rachel Daly 32' goal
  • Kenza Dali 58' goal
  • Rachel Daly 76' goal
  • goal Laura Coombs 45'+1'
  • goal Khadija Shaw 53'
  • goal Laura Coombs 55'