Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Manchester United Women win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City Women	Draw	Manchester United Women
58.9% ( -0.21)	22.78% ( 0.1)	18.32% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 49.58% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.87% (

-0.25)

49.13% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.8% (

-0.22)

71.2% (

0.22)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.65% (

-0.16)

16.35% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.05% (

-0.28)

45.95% (

0.28)

Manchester United Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.27% (

-0.02)

40.72% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.69% (

-0.01)

77.31% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Manchester City Women 58.89%

Manchester United Women 18.32%

Draw 22.78%

Manchester City Women	Draw	Manchester United Women
1-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.02% Total : 58.89%	1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.78%	0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 18.32%