Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Liverpool Women win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester United Women	Draw	Liverpool Women
47.6% ( 0.3)	24.17% ( -0.04)	28.23% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 57.29% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.19% (

-0.02)

44.81% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.83% (

-0.02)

67.17% (

0.01)

Manchester United Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.05% (

0.11)

18.94% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.54% (

0.19)

50.46% (

-0.2)

Liverpool Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.69% (

-0.2)

29.31% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.71% (

-0.25)

65.29% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Manchester United Women 47.6%

Liverpool Women 28.23%

Draw 24.16%

Manchester United Women	Draw	Liverpool Women
2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 47.6%	1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.16%	1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.35% Total : 28.23%