Women's Super League | Gameweek 5
Oct 19, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Broadfield Stadium

Brighton
1 - 1
Man Utd

Parris (52')
Thorisdottir (19'), Pattinson (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clinton (10')
Naalsund (34'), Clinton (70'), Mannion (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion Women and Manchester United Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion Women

All competitions
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-1 Brighton
Sunday, October 13 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 Spurs
Sunday, October 13 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 17.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 2-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawManchester United Women
17.02% (0.617 0.62)20.32% (0.603 0.6)62.66% (-1.225 -1.23)
Both teams to score 55.07% (-0.77 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.44% (-1.666 -1.67)40.56% (1.663 1.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.06% (-1.733 -1.73)62.94% (1.729 1.73)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.85% (-0.279 -0.28)37.15% (0.275 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.06% (-0.277 -0.28)73.94% (0.273 0.27)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.63% (-0.83699999999999 -0.84)12.37% (0.833 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.77% (-1.777 -1.78)38.23% (1.771 1.77)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 17.02%
    Manchester United Women 62.66%
    Draw 20.32%
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawManchester United Women
2-1 @ 4.71% (0.137 0.14)
1-0 @ 4.55% (0.306 0.31)
2-0 @ 2.25% (0.136 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.55% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 17.02%
1-1 @ 9.51% (0.345 0.34)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.342 0.34)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.32%
0-2 @ 10.03% (0.109 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 9.61% (0.417 0.42)
0-3 @ 6.99% (-0.151 -0.15)
1-3 @ 6.92% (-0.202 -0.2)
0-4 @ 3.65% (-0.204 -0.2)
1-4 @ 3.62% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-5 @ 1.53% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-5 @ 1.51% (-0.15 -0.15)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 62.66%

How you voted: Brighton vs Man Utd

Brighton & Hove Albion Women
12.5%
Draw
12.5%
Manchester United Women
75.0%
8
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