MX23RW : Wednesday, February 12 00:41:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 12
Jan 26, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
1 - 0
Arsenal

Reiten (84' pen.)
Cuthbert (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McCabe (83')
McCabe (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 0-5 Chelsea
Sunday, January 19 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal 5-0 Crystal Palace
Sunday, January 19 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Chelsea Women 2-2 Arsenal Women

Arsenal will be desperate to take the spoils to reduce the gap at the top of the table to four points, but we think that they will have to be content with a draw when they face a Chelsea side that are yet to lose under Bompastor's watch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawArsenal Women
45.36% (-1.768 -1.77) 23.87% (0.539 0.54) 30.76% (1.233 1.23)
Both teams to score 59.98% (-1.172 -1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.99% (-1.869 -1.87)42% (1.871 1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.59% (-1.903 -1.9)64.4% (1.906 1.91)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25% (-1.435 -1.44)18.74% (1.439 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.87% (-2.463 -2.46)50.13% (2.466 2.47)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81% (-0.13399999999999 -0.13)26.18% (0.138 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.72% (-0.183 -0.18)61.27% (0.186 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 45.36%
    Arsenal Women 30.76%
    Draw 23.87%
Chelsea WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-0 @ 8.22% (0.311 0.31)
2-0 @ 6.88% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.31 -0.31)
3-0 @ 3.84% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.222 -0.22)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.239 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.166 -0.17)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 45.36%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.38 0.38)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.91% (0.4 0.4)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.87%
1-2 @ 7.38% (0.223 0.22)
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.513 0.51)
0-2 @ 4.41% (0.328 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.3% (0.087 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.139 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.025 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 30.76%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Arsenal

Chelsea Women
57.1%
Draw
7.1%
Arsenal Women
35.7%
14
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 1.45pm
Gameweek 4
Arsenal
1-2
Chelsea
Foord (43')
Williamson (33'), Foord (52')
Ramirez (4'), Baltimore (16')
Baltimore (88'), Cuthbert (90+1'), Bjorn (90+1')
Mar 15, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 16
Chelsea
3-1
Arsenal
James (15'), Nusken (21', 32')
Hampton (87')
Macario (86' og.)
McCabe (42'), Lacasse (67')
Dec 10, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Arsenal
4-1
Chelsea
Mead (8'), Ilestedt (36'), Russo (38', 74' pen.)
McCabe (54'), Foord (56'), Maritz (82'), Maanum (84'), Pelova (87')
Rytting-Kaneryd (13')
James (70')
May 21, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Chelsea
2-0
Arsenal
Reiten (22'), Ericsson (41')

Wubben-Moy (34'), McCabe (45+1')
Jan 15, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 11
Arsenal
1-1
Chelsea
Little (57' pen.)
Kerr (89')
rhs 2.0
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