Women's Super League | Gameweek 9
Dec 8, 2024 at 2pm UK
Kingsmeadow

Chelsea
4 - 2
Brighton

Nusken (35', 90+1'), Beever-Jones (40'), Rytting-Kaneryd (51')
Cuthbert (19'), Nusken (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cankovic (43'), Seike (71')
Parris (64'), Carabali (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Man Utd
Sunday, November 24 at 12pm in Women's Super League

Brighton & Hove Albion Women

All competitions
Last Game: Brighton 3-2 West Ham
Saturday, November 16 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 82.64%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 5.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.58%) and 4-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.49%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 0-1 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
82.64% (-0.196 -0.2)11.6% (0.118 0.12)5.76% (0.0771 0.08)
Both teams to score 45.5% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.71% (-0.28 -0.28)31.28% (0.282 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.27% (-0.333 -0.33)52.72% (0.333 0.33)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.42% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)5.58% (0.089 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.32% (-0.258 -0.26)21.68% (0.257 0.26)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.19% (0.028999999999996 0.03)51.81% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.12% (0.021000000000001 0.02)85.88% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 82.63%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 5.76%
    Draw 11.6%
Chelsea WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
2-0 @ 12.03% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 11.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 8.36% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.083 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 5.5% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
5-0 @ 4.82% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-1 @ 3.17% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
6-0 @ 2.32% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
7-0 @ 0.96% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 82.63%
1-1 @ 5.49% (0.059 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.89% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.6% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 11.6%
0-1 @ 1.9% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 1.8% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 5.76%

Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Brighton
0-3
Chelsea
James (46', 59'), Kirby (51')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 4
Chelsea
4-2
Brighton
Nusken (45+4', 52', 74'), Beever-Jones (82')
Bremer (10'), Terland (90')
> Preview
Mar 8, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Chelsea
3-1
Brighton
Reiten (12' pen.), Carter (21'), Rytting-Kaneryd (71')
Carter (88')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 6.45pm
Gameweek 5
Brighton
0-2
Chelsea
England (58'), Mosegaard-Harder (86')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 13
Brighton
0-0
Chelsea
Mosegaard-Harder (33')
> Preview