Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 82.64%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 5.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.58%) and 4-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.49%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 0-1 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.