Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 17, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Di Stefano

Real Madrid
1 - 2
Chelsea

Weir (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Macario (51' pen., 56' pen.)
Cuthbert (61'), Baltimore (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's Champions League clash between Real Madrid Femenino and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Celtic Women 0-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Leicester 1-1 Chelsea
Saturday, December 14 at 12pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Real Madrid Femenino win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chelsea Women in this match.

Result
Real Madrid FemeninoDrawChelsea Women
27.1% (-1.397 -1.4)21.87% (-1.229 -1.23)51.03% (2.631 2.63)
Both teams to score 64.58% (3.327 3.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.19% (4.876 4.88)34.81% (-4.873 -4.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.23% (5.262 5.26)56.78% (-5.258 -5.26)
Real Madrid Femenino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (1.569 1.57)24.94% (-1.564 -1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43% (2.131 2.13)59.57% (-2.127 -2.13)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.03% (2.693 2.69)13.97% (-2.69 -2.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.54% (5.053 5.05)41.46% (-5.05 -5.05)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid Femenino 27.1%
    Chelsea Women 51.03%
    Draw 21.87%
Real Madrid FemeninoDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 6.61% (-0.364 -0.36)
1-0 @ 4.84% (-1.025 -1.03)
2-0 @ 3.36% (-0.533 -0.53)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.246 0.25)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 27.1%
1-1 @ 9.52% (-0.978 -0.98)
2-2 @ 6.51% (0.256 0.26)
0-0 @ 3.48% (-0.931 -0.93)
3-3 @ 1.98% (0.324 0.32)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.87%
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.86% (-1.056 -1.06)
0-2 @ 6.75% (-0.343 -0.34)
1-3 @ 6.15% (0.523 0.52)
0-3 @ 4.43% (0.191 0.19)
2-3 @ 4.27% (0.535 0.54)
1-4 @ 3.03% (0.505 0.51)
0-4 @ 2.18% (0.281 0.28)
2-4 @ 2.1% (0.427 0.43)
1-5 @ 1.19% (0.287 0.29)
3-4 @ 0.97% (0.232 0.23)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 51.03%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Chelsea

Real Madrid Femenino
21.1%
Draw
15.8%
Chelsea Women
63.2%
38
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Chelsea
3-2
Real Madrid
Nusken (2'), Reiten (27' pen.), Ramirez (53')
Redondo (39'), Caicedo (84')
Abilleira (61')
Jan 24, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Chelsea
2-1
Real Madrid
Reiten (62' pen.), Chavas (70' og.)
Nov 15, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Real Madrid
2-2
Chelsea
Carmona (10', 79' pen.)
Toletti (45'), Sousa (90')
Charles (41'), Kerr (74')
Dec 8, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Real Madrid
1-1
Chelsea
Weir (36')
Rodriguez (59' og.)
Nov 23, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Chelsea
2-0
Real Madrid
Ingle (67'), Cuthbert (76')
rhs 2.0


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