Women's Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 17, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Estadio Alfredo Di Stefano

Real Madrid
4 - 0
Celtic Women

Weir (7'), Bruun (72'), Moller (80'), Caicedo (83' pen.)
Lakrar (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ross (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Real Madrid Femenino and Celtic Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid Femenino

Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, October 8 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Celtic Women

Last Game: Celtic Women 0-2 FC Twente Women
Tuesday, October 8 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid Femenino win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Celtic Women had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid Femenino win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Celtic Women win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid Femenino would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid Femenino	Draw	Celtic Women
46.3% ( 1.34)	24.53% ( 0.33)	29.17% ( -1.67)

Both teams to score 56.75% (

-2.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.17% (

-2.34)

45.83% (

2.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.86% (

-2.27)

68.15% (

2.27)

Real Madrid Femenino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.11% (

-0.38)

19.89% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.99% (

-0.61)

52.01% (

0.62)

Celtic Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83% (

-2.3)

29.17% (

2.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.9% (

-2.92)

65.1% (

2.92)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid Femenino 46.3%

Celtic Women 29.17%

Draw 24.53%

Real Madrid Femenino	Draw	Celtic Women
1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.8) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.57) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.95% Total : 46.3%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.53%	0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.42% Total : 29.17%