Women's Champions League | Second Round | 1st Leg

Sep 19, 2024 at 4pm UK

CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira

Sporting
1 - 2
Real Madrid

(Real Madrid Femenino win 5-2 on aggregate)

Filipa Ramires Bravo (45+4' pen.)
Cyrenie Raphino (49'), Borges (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

del Castillo (11'), Leupolz (90+6')
Rodriguez (45+3'), Carmona (55'), Moller (90+5')

Coverage of the Women's Champions League Second Round clash between Sporting Women and Real Madrid Femenino.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Women

Last Game: Breidablik 0-2 Sporting
Saturday, September 7 at 6pm in Women's Champions League

Real Madrid Femenino

Last Game: Real Madrid 0-1 BK Hacken
Tuesday, January 30 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid Femenino win with a probability of 67.13%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Sporting Women had a probability of 13.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid Femenino win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Sporting Women win it was 1-0 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid Femenino would win this match.

Result
Sporting Women	Draw	Real Madrid Femenino
13.82% ( -0.13)	19.05% ( -0.05)	67.13% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 51.59% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.73% (

-0.1)

41.26% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.34% (

-0.1)

63.66% (

0.1)

Sporting Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.21% (

-0.26)

41.79% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.74% (

-0.22)

78.25% (

0.22)

Real Madrid Femenino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.63% (

0.02)

11.36% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.93% (

0.04)

36.07% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Sporting Women 13.82%

Real Madrid Femenino 67.13%

Draw 19.05%

Sporting Women	Draw	Real Madrid Femenino
1-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.55% Total : 13.82%	1-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.05%	0-2 @ 11.23% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8.14% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 7.1% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.43% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.86% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 3.85% Total : 67.13%