Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid Femenino win with a probability of 65.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Sporting Women had a probability of 15.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid Femenino win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Sporting Women win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid Femenino would win this match.