Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente Women
1 - 3
Chelsea

van Dijk (68')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Beever-Jones (7'), Hamano (18'), Reiten (63' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between FC Twente Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Celtic Women 0-2 FC Twente Women
Tuesday, October 8 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Arsenal 1-2 Chelsea
Saturday, October 12 at 1.45pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for FC Twente Women had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest FC Twente Women win was 2-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Chelsea Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea Women.

Result
FC Twente WomenDrawChelsea Women
25.86% (0.211 0.21)22.85% (0.641 0.64)51.29% (-0.852 -0.85)
Both teams to score 59.79% (-2.081 -2.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.41% (-2.836 -2.84)40.59% (2.837 2.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.03% (-2.974 -2.97)62.97% (2.974 2.97)
FC Twente Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (-1.349 -1.35)28.86% (1.35 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.27% (-1.708 -1.71)64.73% (1.709 1.71)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.04% (-1.304 -1.3)15.95% (1.305 1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.76% (-2.45 -2.45)45.24% (2.451 2.45)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente Women 25.86%
    Chelsea Women 51.29%
    Draw 22.85%
FC Twente WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 6.53% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 5.72% (0.521 0.52)
2-0 @ 3.56% (0.199 0.2)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 25.86%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.51 0.51)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.202 -0.2)
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.574 0.57)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.85%
1-2 @ 9.64% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
0-1 @ 8.45% (0.71 0.71)
0-2 @ 7.76% (0.321 0.32)
1-3 @ 5.9% (-0.247 -0.25)
0-3 @ 4.75% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.66% (-0.3 -0.3)
1-4 @ 2.71% (-0.244 -0.24)
0-4 @ 2.18% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.68% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 51.29%

How you voted: FC Twente Women vs Chelsea

FC Twente Women
17.1%
Draw
4.9%
Chelsea Women
78.0%
41
rhs 2.0


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