Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid Femenino win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for FC Twente Women had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid Femenino win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest FC Twente Women win was 2-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid Femenino would win this match.