Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester City Women	Draw	Chelsea Women
37.85% ( 0.18)	25.01%	37.14% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 57.74% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.31% (

-0)

45.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.99% (

68.01% (

-0)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.18% (

0.09)

23.82% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42% (

0.14)

58% (

-0.14)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.79% (

-0.09)

24.21% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.45% (

-0.13)

58.55% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Manchester City Women 37.85%

Chelsea Women 37.14%

Draw 25%

Manchester City Women	Draw	Chelsea Women
2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.85%	1-1 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 25%	1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 37.14%