Women's Super League Gameweek 13
Aston Villa
Feb 2, 2025 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
Chelsea
  • Jill Baijings 61' yellowcard
  • Rachel Daly 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Sarah Mayling 82' (OG)

Aston Villa Women vs Chelsea Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Jan 25, 2025 12.00pm
Aston Villa 2 - 4 Man City
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Rachel Daly

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Jan 26, 2025 12.30pm
Chelsea 1 - 0 Arsenal
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Aggie Beever-Jones

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 66.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 15.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.97%) and 1-3 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa Women 15.83% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 17.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Chelsea Women 66.71% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.27% ▼ (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 71.14% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 28.86% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 50.19% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 3.5 49.81% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 4.5 30.92% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 4.5 69.08% ▲ (+0.25)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5 68.83% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 0.5 31.16% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 1.5 32.5% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 67.5% ▲ (+0.25)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5 91.92% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 8.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 71.58% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 28.42% ▲ (+0.13)

Score analysis

Aston Villa Women 15.83%
Draw 17.45%
Chelsea Women 66.71%
Aston Villa Women
2-1 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 15.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 17.45%
Chelsea Women
1-2 @ 9.29% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.97% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.03)
1-5 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.02)
0-5 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)
2-5 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
3-4 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.02)
1-6 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 66.71%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 1
Chelsea
Sep 20, 2024 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kingsmeadow
Aston Villa
  • Johanna Rytting-Kaneryd 36' goal
  • Maika Hamano 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucy Staniforth 4'
Women's Super League Gameweek 19
Chelsea
Apr 17, 2024 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Kingsmeadow
Aston Villa
  • Aggie Beever-Jones 18' goal
  • Maika Hamano 38' goal
  • Sophie Ingle 61' yellowcard
  • Kadiesha Buchanan 64' goal
  • Ashley Lawrence 77' yellowcard
  • redcard Anna Leat 4'
  • yellowcard Rachel Corsie 8'
  • yellowcard Rachel Daly 45'+4'
Women's Super League Gameweek 5
Aston Villa
Nov 4, 2023 12.30pm
0
6
HT : 0 2
FT Poundland Bescot Stadium
Chelsea
  • Anna Patten 35' yellowcard
  • goal Millie Bright 21'
  • goal Fran Kirby 26'
  • goal Johanna Rytting-Kaneryd 56'
  • goal Ashley Lawrence 63'
  • goal Aggie Beever-Jones 67'
  • goal Niamh Charles 73'
Women's FA Cup
Aston Villa
Apr 16, 2023 2.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Poundland Bescot Stadium
Chelsea
  • goal Samantha Kerr 59'
Women's Super League Gameweek 17
Aston Villa
Apr 2, 2023 6.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Chelsea
  • goal Jelena Cankovic 22'
  • goal Guro Reiten 43'
  • goal Samantha Kerr 56'
Women's Super League Gameweek 6
Chelsea
Oct 30, 2022 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Aston Villa
  • Lauren James 22' goal
  • Lauren James 47' goal
  • Samantha Kerr 63' goal
  • goal Rachel Daly 38'

Form Data

Aston Villa 2 - 4 Man City
Everton 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 3 - 1 West Ham
Arsenal 4 - 0 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 3 - 2 Crystal Palace
Man Utd 0 - 0 Aston Villa
Chelsea 1 - 0 Arsenal
West Ham 0 - 5 Chelsea
Real Madrid 1 - 2 Chelsea
Leicester 1 - 1 Chelsea
Chelsea 6 - 1 FC Twente Women
Chelsea 4 - 2 Brighton