Women's Super League | Gameweek 16
Mar 5, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Kingsmeadow

Chelsea
3 - 1
Leicester

Macario (8'), Beever-Jones (51'), Cuthbert (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Momiki (55')
Mace (7'), O'Brien (44'), Nevin (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Leicester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton 2-2 Chelsea
Sunday, March 2 at 3pm in Women's Super League

Leicester City Women

All competitions
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Leicester
Sunday, March 2 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 94.34%. A draw had a probability of 4.5% and a win for Leicester City Women had a probability of 1.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.53%) and 2-0 (11.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.1%), while for a Leicester City Women win it was 0-1 (0.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawLeicester City Women
94.34% (0.041999999999987 0.04)4.47% (-0.0149 -0.01)1.2% (-0.025 -0.02)
Both teams to score 29.78% (-0.539 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.88% (-0.239 -0.24)21.12% (0.241 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.32% (-0.336 -0.34)39.68% (0.337 0.34)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.83% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)2.17% (0.022 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
89.51% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)10.49% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Leicester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
30.44% (-0.544 -0.54)69.56% (0.54600000000001 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.19% (-0.197 -0.2)94.81% (0.199 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 94.31%
    Leicester City Women 1.2%
    Draw 4.47%
Chelsea WomenDrawLeicester City Women
3-0 @ 14.14% (0.15 0.15)
4-0 @ 13.53% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 11.07% (0.14 0.14)
5-0 @ 10.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
6-0 @ 6.62% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.79% (0.089 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.92% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-1 @ 4.02% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-1 @ 3.76% (-0.064 -0.06)
7-0 @ 3.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 2.4% (-0.048 -0.05)
8-0 @ 1.73% (-0.006 -0.01)
7-1 @ 1.31% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 0.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 4.97%
Total : 94.31%
1-1 @ 2.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.51% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 4.47%
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 1.2%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Leicester

Chelsea Women
92.3%
Draw
0.0%
Leicester City Women
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 10
Leicester
1-1
Chelsea
Goodwin (20')
Howard (45+1'), O'Brien (84'), O'Brien (85')
Kaptein (77')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 15
Leicester
0-4
Chelsea

Momiki (80')
Bjorn (38'), Ramirez (44'), Rytting-Kaneryd (64'), Macario (78')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 8
Chelsea
5-2
Leicester
James (2', 58'), Nevin (5' og.), Kerr (40'), Beever-Jones (88')
Rantala (26'), Tierney (44')
Howard (33'), Petermann (48'), Thibaud (75')
> Preview
May 10, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 18
Chelsea
6-0
Leicester
Reiten (8'), Cuthbert (18'), Mosegaard-Harder (32', 42'), James (56'), Cankovic (90+3')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 9
Leicester
0-8
Chelsea
Reiten (4'), Fleming (13', 50'), Kirby (39', 82'), Charles (41'), Kerr (45'), England (75')
> Preview