Women's Super League | Gameweek 14
Feb 16, 2025 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium

Leicester
3 - 0
Aston Villa

Cayman (29', 49'), Thibaud (50')
Bott (55'), Mace (73'), O'Brien (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Baijings (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Leicester City Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City Women

All competitions
Last Game: Everton 4-1 Leicester
Sunday, February 2 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-1 Chelsea
Sunday, February 2 at 2.30pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City Women win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City Women would win this match.

Result
Leicester City WomenDrawAston Villa Women
42.74% (0.165 0.16)23.78% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)33.49% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 61.55% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.54% (0.067 0.07)40.46% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.16% (0.07 0.07)62.84% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Leicester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77% (0.101 0.1)19.23% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.07% (0.162 0.16)50.94% (-0.157 -0.16)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.2% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)23.8% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.03% (-0.067 -0.07)57.97% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City Women 42.74%
    Aston Villa Women 33.49%
    Draw 23.78%
Leicester City WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.22% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.42% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 42.74%
1-1 @ 10.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.57% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 33.49%

Head to Head
Oct 13, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 4
Aston Villa
0-0
Leicester
Bo Kearns (19'), Maritz (45+2'), Staniforth (80')
Nevin (33'), Kees (45')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 18
Aston Villa
2-2
Leicester
Leon (26'), Daly (75')
Corsie (16'), Lehmann (24'), Nobbs (55')
Momiki (28'), Tierney (56')
Pelgander (87')
> Preview
Jan 19, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 11
Leicester
0-1
Aston Villa

Nevin (28')
Daly (16')
Pacheco (90+9')
> Preview
Mar 26, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 16
Aston Villa
5-0
Leicester
Dali (6'), Lehmann (35', 71'), Daly (45', 55')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Leicester
0-2
Aston Villa
Daly (3' pen.), Gielnik (86')
> Preview