Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 94.85%. A draw had a probability of 4% and a win for Everton Women had a probability of 1.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 4-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.23%) and 5-0 (10.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.91%), while for a Everton Women win it was 0-1 (0.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.