Women's Super League Gameweek 17
Mar 23, 2025 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Kerolin 32' goal
  • yellowcard Oriane Jean-Francois 33'
  • yellowcard Millie Bright 41'
  • goal Aggie Beever-Jones 49'
  • goal Erin Cuthbert 90'+1'

Manchester City Women vs Chelsea Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Mar 5, 2025 7.00pm
West Ham 1 - 1 Man City
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Khadija Shaw

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Mar 5, 2025 7.30pm
Chelsea 3 - 1 Leicester
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Aggie Beever-Jones

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chelsea Women in this match.

Result

Manchester City Women 34.21% (-0.22)
Draw 24.39% (-0.03)
Chelsea Women 41.4% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.55% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.84% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 43.16% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 34.44% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 65.56% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 17.85% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 82.15% (-0.07)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5 75.34% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 24.66% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 40.81% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 59.18% (+0.12)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5 79.04% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 20.96% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 46.29% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 53.7% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Manchester City Women 34.21%
Draw 24.38%
Chelsea Women 41.4%
Manchester City Women
2-1 @ 7.91% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.24% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.06% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.18% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.5% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.38%
Chelsea Women
1-2 @ 8.84% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 8.08% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.31% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.6% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.29% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.22% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.8% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.28% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.26% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.4%

Head to Head

Women's Champions League
Mar 19, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Moi Stadium
  • Vivianne Miedema 60' goal
  • Kerolin 77' yellowcard
  • Vivianne Miedema 88' goal
Women's Super League Gameweek 8
Nov 16, 2024 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Nathalie Bjorn 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Mayra Ramirez 75' goal
  • Guro Reiten 79' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Greenwood 47'
Women's Super League Gameweek 14
Feb 16, 2024 7.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kingsmeadow
  • Erin Cuthbert 52' yellowcard
  • Lauren James 84' yellowcard
  • goal Khadija Shaw 14'
  • yellowcard Chloe Kelly 54'
Women's Super League Gameweek 2
Oct 8, 2023 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Academy Stadium
  • Chloe Kelly 7' goal
  • Gareth Taylor 12' yellowcard
  • Alex Greenwood 17' yellowcard
  • Alex Greenwood 38' redcard
  • Laia Aleixandri 38' yellowcard
  • Chloe Kelly 39' yellowcard
  • Jill Roord 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Lauren Hemp 67' yellowcard
  • Lauren Hemp 81' redcard
  • yellowcard Lauren James 11'
  • yellowcard Niamh Charles 35'
  • goal Guro Reiten 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Jelena Cankovic 90'+8'
Women's Super League Gameweek 16
Mar 26, 2023 12.40pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Filippa Angeldal 21' goal
  • Lauren Hemp 30' goal
Women's Super League Gameweek 3
Sep 25, 2022 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Fran Kirby 42' goal
  • Maren Naevdal Mjelde 78' goal