Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chelsea Women in this match.

Result
Manchester City Women	Draw	Chelsea Women
34.21% ( -0.21)	24.39% ( -0.03)	41.4% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 59.55% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.84% (

0.09)

43.16% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.44% (

0.09)

65.56% (

-0.09)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.34% (

-0.08)

24.66% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.81% (

-0.11)

59.18% (

0.11)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.04% (

0.15)

20.96% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.29% (

0.24)

53.7% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Manchester City Women 34.21%

Chelsea Women 41.4%

Draw 24.38%

Manchester City Women	Draw	Chelsea Women
2-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.21%	1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.38%	1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 41.4%