Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chelsea Women in this match.