Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 22, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Wheatsheaf Park

Chelsea Women
0 - 1
Barcelona

FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Champions League clash between Chelsea Women and Barcelona Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions

Women's Champions League

Last Game: Aston Villa 0-1 Chelsea Women
Sunday, April 16 at 2.15pm in Women's FA Cup

Goals
for

Barcelona Women

All competitions

Last Game: Barcelona 5-1 Roma
Wednesday, March 29 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 64.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 16.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-3 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Chelsea Women win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea Women	Draw	Barcelona Women
16.59% ( 0.07)	18.45% ( 0.05)	64.96% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 61.1% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.67% (

-0.1)

32.33% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.05% (

-0.11)

53.95% (

0.12)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.44% (

0.02)

32.56% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.91% (

0.02)

69.09% (

-0.02)

Barcelona Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.6% (

-0.05)

9.4% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.38% (

-0.13)

31.62% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Chelsea Women 16.59%

Barcelona Women 64.96%

Draw 18.45%

Chelsea Women	Draw	Barcelona Women
2-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 16.59%	1-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.45%	1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.55% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.57% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 4.47% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.25% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.99% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 3.92% Total : 64.96%