Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Mar 19, 2025 at 5.45pm UK

AOK Stadion

Wolfsburg
1 - 4
Barcelona

(Barcelona Women win 10-2 on aggregate)

Minge (79')
Popp (46')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dijkstra (26' og.), Paredes (50'), Paralluelo (53'), Schertenleib (88')
Schertenleib (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Wolfsburg Women and Barcelona Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg Women

Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, December 17 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Barcelona Women

Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Man City
Wednesday, December 18 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for Wolfsburg Women had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.32%) and 2-3 (5.6%). The likeliest Wolfsburg Women win was 2-1 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg Women	Draw	Barcelona Women
28.36% ( -2.22)	19.34% ( -0.22)	52.3% ( 2.44)

Both teams to score 75.59% (

-0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.8% (

-0.43)

21.2% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

60.22% (

-0.61)

39.78% (

0.61)

Wolfsburg Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.01% (

-1.3)

16.99% (

1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.89% (

-2.34)

47.11% (

2.34)

Barcelona Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.06% (

0.42)

8.94% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.47% (

1.01)

30.53% (

-1.01)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg Women 28.36%

Barcelona Women 52.3%

Draw 19.34%

Wolfsburg Women	Draw	Barcelona Women
2-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.28) 1-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.2) 4-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.8% Total : 28.36%	2-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.11) 1-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.06% Total : 19.34%	1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 6.32% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 5.6% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.31) 1-4 @ 3.81% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.31) 2-4 @ 3.38% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.22) 3-4 @ 2% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.84% ( 0.15) 2-5 @ 1.63% ( 0.07) 0-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.13) 3-5 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 4.06% Total : 52.3%