Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for Wolfsburg Women had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.32%) and 2-3 (5.6%). The likeliest Wolfsburg Women win was 2-1 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.