MX23RW : Friday, April 18 15:52:16| >> :60:48:48:
Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 19, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
AOK Stadion

Wolfsburg
1 - 4
Barcelona

Minge (79')
Popp (46')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dijkstra (26' og.), Paredes (50'), Paralluelo (53'), Schertenleib (88')
Schertenleib (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Wolfsburg Women and Barcelona Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, December 17 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Man City
Wednesday, December 18 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Wolfsburg Women 1-3 Barcelona Women

Barcelona will head to Germany in a confident mood after winning each of their last nine competitive matches, and we think thag they will showcase their firepower to claim a first-leg victory and condemn Wolfsburg to their first home defeat since October. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for Wolfsburg Women had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.32%) and 2-3 (5.6%). The likeliest Wolfsburg Women win was 2-1 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg WomenDrawBarcelona Women
28.36% (-2.22 -2.22) 19.34% (-0.218 -0.22) 52.3% (2.438 2.44)
Both teams to score 75.59% (-0.822 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.8% (-0.434 -0.43)21.2% (0.434 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.22% (-0.608 -0.61)39.78% (0.608 0.61)
Wolfsburg Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (-1.295 -1.3)16.99% (1.296 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.89% (-2.343 -2.34)47.11% (2.344 2.34)
Barcelona Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.06% (0.423 0.42)8.94% (-0.4241 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.47% (1.013 1.01)30.53% (-1.012 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg Women 28.36%
    Barcelona Women 52.3%
    Draw 19.34%
Wolfsburg WomenDrawBarcelona Women
2-1 @ 5.76% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-2 @ 4.11% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-0 @ 2.69% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.39% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.198 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.196 -0.2)
4-3 @ 1.47% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 28.36%
2-2 @ 6.96% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-1 @ 6.5% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 3.31% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-0 @ 1.52% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 19.34%
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.216 0.22)
1-3 @ 6.32% (0.291 0.29)
2-3 @ 5.6% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.306 0.31)
1-4 @ 3.81% (0.246 0.25)
0-1 @ 3.67% (0.187 0.19)
0-3 @ 3.56% (0.31 0.31)
2-4 @ 3.38% (0.077 0.08)
0-4 @ 2.15% (0.224 0.22)
3-4 @ 2% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.84% (0.151 0.15)
2-5 @ 1.63% (0.068 0.07)
0-5 @ 1.04% (0.126 0.13)
3-5 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 52.3%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Barcelona

Wolfsburg Women
14.3%
Draw
2.0%
Barcelona Women
83.7%
49
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2023 3pm
Final
Barcelona
3-2
Wolfsburg
Guijarro (48', 50'), Rolfo (70')
Bonmati (33'), Paredes (90+4')
Pajor (3'), Popp (37')
Hendrich (22'), Jane Jonsdottir (77'), Popp (90+4')
Apr 30, 2022 5pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Wolfsburg
2-0
Barcelona
Wassmuth (47'), Roord (59')
Lattwein (55'), Huth (62'), Rauch (90+4')

Hermoso (58')
Apr 22, 2022 5.45pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Barcelona
5-1
Wolfsburg
Bonmati (3'), Graham Hansen (10'), Hermoso (33'), Putellas (38', 85' pen.)
Roord (70')
Pajor (64'), Bloodworth (84')
rhs 2.0
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