Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Wolfsburg Women had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Wolfsburg Women win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.