Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland

Lyon
1 - 0
Wolfsburg

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's Champions League clash between Lyon Women and Wolfsburg Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Galatasaray 0-6 Lyon
Wednesday, December 11 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Wolfsburg 6-1 Roma
Wednesday, December 11 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Wolfsburg Women had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Wolfsburg Women win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.

Result
Lyon WomenDrawWolfsburg Women
48.97% (-5.805 -5.81)21.49% (0.279 0.28)29.54% (5.531 5.53)
Both teams to score 68.07% (4.401 4.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.93% (3.515 3.52)31.06% (-3.513 -3.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.53% (4.055 4.06)52.46% (-4.051 -4.05)
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.71% (-0.54600000000001 -0.55)13.29% (0.55 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.89% (-1.117 -1.12)40.1% (1.12 1.12)
Wolfsburg Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5% (5.537 5.54)21.49% (-5.534 -5.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46% (7.851 7.85)54.54% (-7.847 -7.85)
Score Analysis
    Lyon Women 48.97%
    Wolfsburg Women 29.54%
    Draw 21.49%
Lyon WomenDrawWolfsburg Women
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.618 -0.62)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.551 -0.55)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-1.492 -1.49)
1-0 @ 5.76% (-1.33 -1.33)
3-2 @ 4.63% (0.328 0.33)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-1.106 -1.11)
4-1 @ 3.04% (-0.348 -0.35)
4-2 @ 2.33% (0.121 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.611 -0.61)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-3 @ 1.2% (0.231 0.23)
5-2 @ 0.94% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 48.97%
1-1 @ 8.86% (-0.419 -0.42)
2-2 @ 6.88% (0.62 0.62)
0-0 @ 2.86% (-0.587 -0.59)
3-3 @ 2.37% (0.496 0.5)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.49%
1-2 @ 6.81% (0.741 0.74)
0-1 @ 4.39% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.52% (0.795 0.8)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.843 0.84)
0-2 @ 3.38% (0.429 0.43)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.444 0.44)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.462 0.46)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.476 0.48)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.298 0.3)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 29.54%

How you voted: Lyon vs Wolfsburg

Lyon Women
81.8%
Draw
18.2%
Wolfsburg Women
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Wolfsburg
0-2
Lyon

Minge (35'), Huth (90+1')
Renard (8'), Horan (53' pen.)
Marozsan (10')
rhs 2.0


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