Women's Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 11, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
6 - 1
Roma

Popp (6'), Beerensteyn (65'), Jane Jonsdottir (68', 85', 89', 90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Giacinti (56')

Coverage of the Women's Champions League Group Stage clash between Wolfsburg Women and Roma Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg Women

Last Game: Wolfsburg 5-0 Galatasaray
Wednesday, November 20 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Roma Women

Last Game: Lyon 4-1 Roma
Wednesday, November 20 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg Women win with a probability of 63.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Roma Women had a probability of 18.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.69%) and 3-1 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Roma Women win it was 1-2 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg Women would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg Women	Draw	Roma Women
63.06% ( -0.81)	18.64% ( 0.62)	18.29% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 64.15% (

-2.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.92% (

-2.79)

30.08% (

2.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.71% (

-3.43)

51.29% (

3.42)

Wolfsburg Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.79% (

-0.95)

9.21% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.83% (

-2.32)

31.17% (

2.31)

Roma Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.65% (

-1.58)

29.34% (

1.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.67% (

-1.98)

65.32% (

1.97)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg Women 63.06%

Roma Women 18.29%

Draw 18.64%

Wolfsburg Women	Draw	Roma Women
2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.72) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.3) 5-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.23) 5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.21) 4-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.18) Other @ 4.17% Total : 63.06%	1-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.41) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.39% Total : 18.64%	1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.37) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.76% Total : 18.29%