Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
AOK Stadion

Wolfsburg
0 - 2
Lyon


Minge (35'), Huth (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Renard (8'), Horan (53' pen.)
Marozsan (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Wolfsburg Women and Lyon Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg Women

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Last Game: Roma 1-0 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, October 8 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Lyon Women

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Last Game: Lyon 3-0 Galatasaray
Tuesday, October 8 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg Women win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Lyon Women had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Lyon Women win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Wolfsburg WomenDrawLyon Women
47.11% (4.326 4.33)22.33% (-0.628 -0.63)30.57% (-3.7 -3.7)
Both teams to score 65.55% (0.65599999999999 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.36% (1.55 1.55)34.64% (-1.552 -1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.42% (1.719 1.72)56.58% (-1.719 -1.72)
Wolfsburg Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.77% (2.239 2.24)15.23% (-2.241 -2.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.12% (4.059 4.06)43.88% (-4.06 -4.06)
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32% (-1.304 -1.3)22.68% (1.304 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67% (-1.973 -1.97)56.33% (1.971 1.97)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg Women 47.11%
    Lyon Women 30.57%
    Draw 22.33%
Wolfsburg WomenDrawLyon Women
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.306 0.31)
1-0 @ 6.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.12% (0.432 0.43)
3-1 @ 5.69% (0.592 0.59)
3-2 @ 4.22% (0.289 0.29)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.531 0.53)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.454 0.45)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.27 0.27)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.364 0.36)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.231 0.23)
4-3 @ 0.98% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 47.11%
1-1 @ 9.64% (-0.407 -0.41)
2-2 @ 6.73% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.45% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-3 @ 2.09% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.33%
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.6 -0.6)
0-1 @ 5.12% (-0.636 -0.64)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.643 -0.64)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-3 @ 3.33% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.406 -0.41)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.225 -0.23)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 30.57%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Lyon

Wolfsburg Women
33.3%
Draw
25.0%
Lyon Women
41.7%
36